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Connecting the Dots:

Things I’ve Been Thinking About Lately 

Why Fixing Matches Is Good for Boxing: Years ago, a friend of mine who was a boxing promoter explained to me why boxing has a history of fixed fights. “When you have a good-looking, charismatic fighter that’s won three or four fights in a row, the fans get interested,” he said. “If he keeps winning, the gate gets big. And fast. It can go from $10,000 to $100,000 to $1 million to $10 million to $100 million. When that happens, everybody wins. The promoter, the venue operator, the boxer, the trainer, the manager – even the kids selling popcorn and hotdogs. And the fighter who takes a dive? He gets paid, too. And if the fight is good, there’s a chance for a rematch. So, you don’t need a big conspiracy to make boxing work that way. Everyone does what’s best for himself.”

How Big Fixes Work in Business: That was an eye-opener for me. I realized that the same phenomenon could occur in business. When, in any industry, the financial incentives are positive from the top to the bottom, you don’t need a big conspiracy to make a big fix happen. Big Pharma is a perfect example. There are dozens of medications and procedures recommended routinely by not just doctors but medical associations that have zero proof that they work. In fact, there are many that have been proven to be useless. So why are they still on the market? Moreover, why are they still being recommended? The answer is that whenever you have a medication or procedure that doesn’t actually kill patients, everyone up and down the chain makes money – from the companies that make the pharmaceuticals, to the associations that are supported by the drug companies, to the lobbyists that promote Big Pharma, to the legal and accounting firms that represent these questionable drugs and procedures, to the hospitals that employ the procedures, to the universities and institutions that do the studies, to the salespeople that persuade the doctors to recommend them, to the drugstores that sell them. The only people that don’t usually make money, oddly, are the doctors that prescribe them. They prescribe them because, most of the time, they believe they actually work, especially when they are recommended by such trustworthy organizations as the American Heart Association. The thinking, up and down the line, seems to be: “So long as it isn’t killing anybody, what’s the harm?” I’ve got much more on this. But I submit the thesis to you for your review.

The Difference Between Waging a War and a Family Feud: As I have said, and as the leaders of Hamas understood when they invaded Israel, the pressure for Israel to pause the war and return to negotiations for a “two-party solution” has mounted as the Palestinian body count grew. The greater the disparity between dead Palestinians and dead Jews, the stronger and larger will be the condemnation of Israel. This idea of “parity” is emotionally comprehensible, but intellectually specious. Parity makes sense and eventually works in a family feud. But it is not – and never has been – a metric for “regulating” war. War is terrible because its purpose is – and must be – defeating the enemy. And however history views it, war is justified – and always has been justified – by the claimed virtue of its cause. The US didn’t justify its role in WWI and WWII, the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and the war against Iraq by how “proportionate” the body count was. (In WWII, for example, about half a million Americans were killed compared to about eight million Germans. And of those eight million, a quarter to a third of them were civilians.) I’m not defending the killing of thousands of Palestinians by Israeli bombing. I’m pointing out that the argument about proportionality makes sense only if you see this as something other than a war. We have to ask ourselves: Is it a war? And if it isn’t, what is it? An ancient family feud? An urban, police action? What do you think?

The Mentor Question: I’m having a discussion with an old friend, spurred by the piece I wrote Nov. 4 about people in my life that had a positive impact on my career. He pointed out that half the people on my list acted as mentors to me. He said that of the many people influenced him, none were mentors. He, like me, had a successful business career. But he managed to have it without the help of a mentor. Why? Was it because of the different industries we were in? Do some industries, such as writing and publishing, benefit more than others from mentor-mentee relationships? Or were our differing paths due to our individual personalities? We are both hyper-resistant to being told what to do. Nor do we like answering questions. I have a few inchoate ideas I’m tossing around. What do you think? Have mentors played a helpful role in your career?

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My Conspiracy Prediction Is Looking Good

As regular readers know, I’ve been predicting that Biden would not be the Democrat nominee for president for more than a year. He won the 2020 election because Democratic strategists wisely made it about COVID, when the fear of it was at hysterical levels (thanks to the CDC and the NHI) and because his handlers kept him locked away as much as possible. Today, the Democrats once again have a tailwind behind them thanks to the Supreme Court decision on abortion, but measures taken by individual states are reducing the anger over that and confidence in Biden has dropped to an all-time low. So, with the economy suffering and Biden’s brain in serious decline, there is no way they are going to take the chance of putting him up against Trump in 2024.

I’ve said that I expect Biden to announce his withdrawal from the race sometime around Thanksgiving in order to give his replacement (probably Gavin Newsom) time to build his own campaign. I’ve also said that, in the weeks preceding Thanksgiving, the mainstream media would begin to publish stories calling for him to step aside.

That’s happening. In the past several weeks, they’ve been popping up all over the place. Click here and here and here and here and here.

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Quick Bites 

“Wow, big news!, AS write in a recent email. “They are changing the names of certain species of birds because their names are offensive. I don’t know about you, but I have had many sleepless nights knowing how harmful the birds’ names were to people. Our lawmakers will be grateful to be able to move on from the frivolous problems, like the border, the economy, and all the wars we are trying to get involved in.”

Really, AS? I looked it up. Yes, indeedy. The American Ornithology Society is changing the names of dozens of species whose taxonomy included the proper names of ornithologists that were in some way connected with slavery or, in one case, used the “n” word in his journals. After we “deracinate” this nomenclature problem, we can move on to a personal mission of mine: changing bird names that are offensive because they are sexist or just plain stupid – as with the Blue-Footed Booby…

Click here.

The Marvel franchise is in danger of blowing up their brand. That’s the view of my favorite independent-minded Communist, Freddie deBoer. Here, he writes about the trend of muscling up female leads.

It makes perfect sense. But I don’t think it will happen. Rand Paul is one of perhaps a half-dozen of our representatives in Washington that have a solid, fundamental understanding of economics. His call for an audit should be heeded. Click here.

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Brian’s Amazing Weight-Loss Protocol

At our last Zoom meeting, I noticed that Brian had lost a lot of weight. In fact, he told me he’d dropped more than 100 pounds!

This is a guy that has always been heavy. But he’s also heavily muscled, so the weight never seemed unhealthy. Now that he’s moving into his 50s, he’s made a commitment to get smaller, and the transformation has been stunning. So much so that I assumed he had been taking one of those new and apparently very effective weight-loss drugs. But no, that’s not what he did. He just made a few simple changes to his diet (no sugar or starch) and added a bit of exercise.

I asked him to give me an example of a typical day. Here it is:

Early Breakfast – Coffee and a smoothie (40g protein).

Mid-morning Snack – A handful of almonds.

Lunch – A large salad with veggies/ quinoa/ beans/ hummus/ seeds/ fish (50g protein).

Afternoon Snack – An apple and a bit of natural peanut butter.

Late-afternoon Exercise – Four-mile walk, mixing in a bit of running to get heart rate up.

Dinner – Varies, but tends to be something like an Asian stir-fry with approx. 50g protein in the form of fish/ edamame and tofu.

Dessert – A spoonful of natural peanut butter.

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From RO: “Your Oct. 10 article about food insecurity reminded me of a video I saw on what I think is the most likely source of this ‘household-level economic and social condition of limited or uncertain access to adequate food.’ It’s neighborhoods where the grocery store gets robbed so often they are forced to close down. They’ve been named food deserts. I think I originally heard this term from a TED Talk given by someone who lived in such a neighborhood. She said that the nearest grocery store is too far to walk, so residents taxi to the nearest superstore, return with a week’s worth of groceries, and hope they don’t get mugged on the way home carrying several bags of food.”

My Response: I looked up a half-dozen definitions of “food insecurity” before I wrote about it, and none of them mentioned the fear of being mugged while carrying groceries. If that had anything to do with it, the same journalists and activists that are making such a fuss about it now would be arguing for more police presence in those neighborhoods, not more government assistance to provide those “suffering” from food insecurity with more food. And by the way, I’ve twice lived in the kind of neighborhoods we are talking about here. And back then, there were no superstores, just small groceries that were run almost exclusively by Asians. And even though crime was rampant in those neighborhoods, 95% of the violent crime was relegated to young Black men killing young Black men over gang- and drug-related feuds. As a “civilian,” neither I nor anyone else I knew had any fear of walking home from the corner store with a bag of groceries.

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"Were it not for hypocrisy I’d have no advice to give."
"Were it not for sciolism I’d have no ideas to share."
"Were it not for arrogance, I’d have no ambition."
"Were it not for forgetfulness, I would have no new ideas to write about."