The “Works in Progress” issue of the week.
10 very long movies that are actually worth watching, according to Far Out Magazine…
Click here.
* Crazy busy, overtipping & other clippings from my Journal
* News you should have seen but didn’t & five stories I (almost) missed
* The Good, Bad, and Ugly – my January report on the state of the US economy
* Five edifying and unsettling essays I wanted to share with you
* Interesting, Serious, and Fun – 13 video clips I think you’ll appreciate
* A quiz on the “weird science” of 2024
And finally…
* Ten quotes to lift you up and get you going in 2025
My Mad December
December was another month of full-speed-ahead, bookended with two trips to Baltimore to meet and work with board members and senior executives of the business that’s been my primary source of income and satisfaction for the last 35 years.
In between were yearly board meetings with two of the family’s nonprofits: FunLimón, a community development center in Nicaragua, and Paradise Palms Botanical & Sculpture Gardens in Delray Beach… two development meetings with the CEO of Rancho Santana… an advisory board meeting with the English Department of a local university… a meeting with SS and Number Three Son to review the status of our collection of Central American art… a yearly review and planning session led by Number Two Son on the family’s business and real estate assets… a very encouraging marketing meeting with the creative team that publishes my books and courses in Japan… a meeting with Palm Beach County about zoning issues for our property in West Delray Beach… a Zoom meeting with a nonprofit that is working to support entrepreneurial ventures for veterans and ex-Peace Corps volunteers… an introductory meeting with RR about working with him on his business mentorship nonprofit… and a happily productive meeting with MC, the agent heading the six-year audit the IRS hit me with last year.
Not to mention the always engaging discussion/argument about a book selected by the Mules, the book club I belong to… the Monday afternoon lecture/discussions on political and economic freedom hosted by a secret cabal of writers, professors, and economists I was recently honored to join… two doctor appointments… three breakfast meetings… and my meager efforts to assist K in her month-long preparation for the last two weeks of the year when our house is happily filled with our kids and their wives and kids and at least a dozen friends and additional family members that drop by to celebrate the holidays.
Mad. And that’s how December has been for K and me and for the Ford/Fitzgerald clan for the 30+ years that we’ve been living in Florida, and I hope it continues until K and I drop dead from exhaustion!
Working with Your Hands, Tipping with Your Heart
There are people in my circle of family and friends that occasionally accuse me of being overgenerous in how much I pay and/or tip manual laborers. Their attitude seems to be: “What’s wrong with you? Are you feeling guilty about or trying to compensate for something?”
I find these interactions puzzling. These are people who know me as someone who once cut grass, shoveled snow, washed cars, built pools, painted houses, tarred roofs, worked in warehouses, bartended, babysat, and cleaned toilets pretty much non-stop from the age of 12 until I was old enough to draw a paycheck. Don’t they trust my judgment about how I should pay the people that do these sorts of jobs for me now?
Have you noticed that…
* People that have worked as servers are generally better tippers than those that haven’t?
* Managers that have never done manual labor tend to be the most demanding of laborers?
* Kids that never had to shovel snow or mow lawns or babysit grow up to be adults that are stingy when it comes to paying kids to mow their lawns, shovel their driveways, and babysit their kids?
And tell me this…
* On a restaurant bill, what percent do you normally pay?
* Do you base the tip on the entire amount or just on the food?
* Do you tip when you order food from a counter?
* Have you ever stiffed a server? If so, why?
* What was the biggest tip you ever gave and why?
How I Lost My Self-Esteem to ChatGPT
In response to reader questions, I’ve been making notes for a longish essay on the technology of robotics and AI and how it will impact the job market. My general view is that (A) the effect will be massive, and (B) it will come much faster than nearly everyone expects.
As you’ll see when I publish this piece (soon!), I’m predicting that we’ll see huge changes in the next three to five years. My advice for dealing with it will be my go-to position for all possible future upheavals: “Hope for the best, but prepare for the worst!”
I should have followed my own advice. Because just before Christmas, I discovered that AI had replaced me in doing a job that wasn’t even on my radar screen. I’m thinking of my role as chief card and letter writer for K.
It happened quite suddenly and unexpectedly. K had mentioned when I left for work that she was counting on me to write the note to our nieces and nephews that would be attached to their Christmas presents.
So that evening, I sat down and began writing while she was dishing out our dinner.
“Oh, you don’t have to bother with that,” she said. “It’s done.”
“What? How could…?”
“I asked ChatBox to write it for me this afternoon.”
“You did? And you were happy with the result?”
She handed it to me. I was, I’m embarrassed to admit, quite good. Perhaps not as good as the best ones I’ve written. But as good as most, and better than a few.
A bittersweet moment, to be sure. Something won in terms of time. Something lost in terms of pride.
Semaglutide Experiment Update
I’m down to 196 pounds – 30 pounds from my peak.
My strength is down, too. Mostly, I think, due to a significant loss in fast-twitch muscle fiber. I’m working on reclaiming some of that by eating more protein (shooting for 100+ grams daily), resistance exercises, and five-minute sprints two or three times a day, trying to get my heart rate to its max. (It was up to 178. Now it’s about 20 beats less.)
My blood pressure is back to very good. It’s been at about 110/70 for the past 30 days. I’ve stopped taking the medication my VIP doctor prescribed. I’m awaiting blood test results to see what other old-man drugs I can trash.
According to the medical literature I’ve dug into the past month (NIH, the Mayo Clinic), the drug poses a small risk of three potentially serious negative side effects – pancreatitis, thyroid tumors, and kidney injury – although “the risk of these complications is considered low and primarily arises in individuals with pre-existing conditions or family history of these issues.”
On the positive side, I found a report on a large (86,000 subjects) study that found that participants taking semaglutide had more than a 50% lower risk of abusing alcohol – a benefit that people taking other weight-loss drugs, such as naltrexone or topiramate, didn’t experience.
I have noticed that since I’ve been on the juice, I rarely drink more than a single glass of wine or beer. That’s a third of what I commonly drank. So that’s good. But my capacity for tequila – which is almost unlimited – remains the same. I presume it’s a matter of viscosity – that wine and beer take up more space in the digestive system. But I’ve not found any research to support that.
Apologies to my editors and most dedicated readers… I’m doing it again!
As you know if you’ve been reading my books or blog posts for any length of time, the scope of subjects I write about is wide and getting wider. I’d like to think that’s a good thing. I’m quite sure, however, that the good people that edit and publish my writing may not see it that way. “Enough is enough,” they advise. “You can’t expect your readers to be happy about the blog getting longer and longer.”
And so I’m sneaking this in here – one more department for the monthly issue. I’m calling it Business & Wealth Building because that’s what it’s going to be about: everything I’ve learned about starting and growing entrepreneurial businesses and multiplying personal financial wealth.
It was one of the principal topics of the two digital newsletters I published from 2000 to 2010 and then from 2010 to 2020. What prompted me to get back to it now is how often I read articles and essays these days that seem to be presenting as “new” ideas that I was writing about 20 years ago.
This morning, I read such a piece in The Free Press. Its thesis was that to lead a satisfying life, one should understand that there is more than one kind of wealth (i.e., financial). There is also physical wealth, intellectual wealth, and social wealth. And the author provided tricks and techniques for enhancing and enjoying all of them.
I swear – I felt like the entire piece was ripped off from me. I felt robbed!
But over the years, I’ve done more thinking about many of my ideas about business and wealth building, and now I’d like to share the “new and improved” versions with my current readers.
Today’s topic is something I see it as a big, potentially transformative idea – an idea that has played a key role in growing from $1 million to $10 million more than a dozen businesses I’ve owned and/or run, several from $10 million to $100 million, and one from $100 million to more than a billion.
And if you want better credibility than that, it’s also the secret that made billionaires out of Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos, and Elon Musk.
Growers and Tenders: Partners in Entrepreneurial Success
Some years ago, I came up with a metaphor to explain an idea I was chewing on about leadership.
The spark that ignited my thinking was an essay written by an Ivy League professor in a business magazine. His thesis wasn’t unusual. He was arguing that CEOs are overpaid and that starting and growing a successful business is not about singular genius but is a communal activity where every player has an equally important role.
There is no doubt that running a large business requires the participation of dozens or even hundreds of smart and hardworking people. But starting a company from scratch and then growing its revenues to reach the $1 million mark, and then growing them again to $10 million, and then again to and beyond the $100 million barrier is, in my experience, almost always the result of a single, fanatically dedicated, extremely demanding and endlessly energetic and optimistic entrepreneur.
Read the biography of any of the great industry builders – from Andrew Carnegie to JP Morgan to John D. Rockefeller to Henry Ford – and that is the sort of person you will see. If you prefer contemporary examples, study the careers of Sam Walton, Jeff Bezos, Rupert Murdoch, Steve Jobs, or Elon Musk and you’ll see the same sort of hard-driving, single-minded, relentlessly demanding personality.
I’m thinking here about entrepreneurs, not CEOs that are appointed to run Fortune 500 companies. That’s an entirely different type of leadership, requiring different personality types with a sometimes overlapping but largely different set of skills.
I’ve written about this, in one form or another, since I began writing about business building and entrepreneurship 20 years ago. In Ready, Fire, Aim, The Reluctant Entrepreneur, and dozens of essays I wrote during that time, I documented what I discovered by reading business biographies and autobiographies – but more importantly, what I experienced in growing dozens of start-up businesses, including several that grew to revenues of more than $100 million and one that broke the billion-dollar mark.
About 10 years ago, during an executive retreat in Dubai with the senior executives of that business, I gave a presentation that identified what I believe may be the most important insight I ever had into the question of how entrepreneurial businesses grow.
My thesis was that there were basically two kinds of business leaders – those that have the personalities and skills to start and grow small businesses into large businesses, and those that have the personalities and skills to manage businesses once they become large.
I named the first type “Growers” and the second type “Tenders.”
It was no coincidence that I used agricultural metaphors. I was in the early stages of developing a palm tree botanical garden, starting with five acres and about two dozen species of palm trees, and eventually growing it to 25 acres and more than 600 species – making it the largest such natural conservatory in the continental United States.
Living through that experience, I couldn’t help but notice that I was always pushing to acquire more land and plant more trees. But if that was all I did, my garden would have turned into a weedy jungle.
The success of the garden was very much due to the people I hired to manage it. And the best people I hired to manage it had very different personalities and skill sets than I had.
I spent more than 80% of my time thinking about growing the garden. They spent more than 80% of their time thinking about tending it as it grew.
On the one hand, I could not have successfully grown the garden to the size it is today without their constant tending. On the other hand, there’s no doubt in my mind that had I not been constantly pushing for growth, the garden would be a beautifully kept five-acre plot of fewer than 50 species.
At the Dubai conference, I reviewed the history of the company from the perspective of the executives that were instrumental in achieving its growth from a relatively small business when I joined it to the indisputably large business that it had become. By presenting my thesis in terms of the true history of the executive leaders of the business, I was able to demonstrate that of the top 50 who had been instrumental in that growth, about 45 of them fit the profile I had named as “Tenders,” while only five demonstrated the personality characteristics and skill sets that I attributed to “Growers.”
Growers, I explained, are leaders who are inspired by the ambition of growing the business and are persistently looking for ways to do that. Tenders are leaders who are inspired by solving problems and minimizing mistakes and work instinctively and persistently toward that end.
Growers worship at the altar of More and Bigger. Tenders worship at the altar of Order and Peace.
Growers are forever pushing people to do more than they want to do and to move more quickly than they think possible. Tenders are forever overcoming obstacles, resolving disputes, and making the machinery of business run as smoothly as it possibly can.
To launch and develop a large and healthy business, you absolutely need both Growers and Tenders. You need Growers to grow the business and Tenders to keep it healthy as it grows.
When your business is starting out, you need a Grower to run it. If you are the founder, that Grower must be you.
Once it is launched and growing, you will need executives that are capable Tenders to execute your plans by dealing with the chaos and solving all the problems you, as a Grower, will cause. And you won’t need just one. You will need three or four or five as the business escalates, because the problems that growth will cause will mount exponentially as revenues climb.
Here’s something you should know. Growers are rare birds. Only one person in a hundred has the personality characteristics and skill sets to grow your business. Tenders are more plentiful and therefore much easier to find. But that doesn’t mean you can hire anyone for that job if your business is growing – and especially if it is in its early stages, where the rate of growth is fast and steep.
Good Tenders need to have great intelligence, deep industry knowledge, and an ability to negotiate and keep workers happily employed. But if they are going to help you grow your company as big and fast as you want, they must also be Tenders that like growth.
That may sound like common sense, but it is not at all common for Tenders to feel comfortable let alone feel motivated in a work environment where things are constantly changing.
I believe this is an important idea for both CEOs of large companies and founders of smaller, entrepreneurial companies. Understanding the difference between Growers and Tenders is essential for not only making the right hiring decisions but also knowing what is expected of you.
I’ll be writing about this more in the future. In the meantime, if you have comments or critiques about this idea, I’d like to hear them. You can contact me here.
My First State of the Economy Report: January 2025
I try to limit the reading I do on the state of the economy to no more than 30 minutes per day. Not because I don’t hold economic theory in high regard. I do. But I’ve only a rudimentary understanding of economic theory and the metrics of economic analysis. And, at age 74, I’m not going to spend a big part of my days trying to catch up. What I do instead is the same thing I do in terms of investment theory and advice. Read just enough to understand what’s at stake. Put questions to experts (friends and colleagues) when I have them. And then do my best to hedge my bets.
For this issue, being the first of 2025, I’ve been trying to figure out what’s at stake for investors in the next 12 months and in the longer term.
Based on the reading I’ve done, I feel optimistic about most of my financial investments (stocks, bonds, cash instruments) in the short term. And that’s primarily because of the optimism I see among all the people I know in the banking and investment industry over Trump’s victory. I see that propping up the stock market and several other asset classes (high-end art and collectibles, certain debt instruments, and segments of the cryptocurrency market) throughout 2025. But after that… Well, continue reading and you’ll see.
Consumer Holiday Spending: What Does It Tell Us?
Spending over the holidays fell in line with voting in November.
Americans spent about 4% more from 11/1 through 12/24 than they did during the same period last year, according to a Mastercard survey.
But the spending mirrored the results of the election, with high income ($100,000+) shoppers, fat on a 25% boost in their stock portfolios, spending considerably more than they did last year, while the rest of the country, pinched by stagnant wages and higher costs, spent less.
According to a report in the WSJ:
“Retailers noticed the difference. Williams-Sonoma, the upscale kitchen and furniture retailer, posted strong quarterly sales and said in late November it was having success moving away from promotional fluctuations. Meanwhile, discounters Dollar Tree and Dollar General said in early December that they were suffering from belt-tightening among their core consumers.”
This supports my optimism. Stocks and other asset classes favored by high-net-worth and high-income investors will stay strong. However, I don’t feel that way about investments in manufacturers and vendors of relatively expensive things to middle- and lower-income workers (e.g., housing and cars). Nor do I feel good about chain restaurants and large retail chains.
The Not-So-Good Numbers on Jobs
In the Dec. 27 issue of “Just One Thing,” I wrote about how the Biden administration was touting some positive economic indicators, such as job openings, as an example of Bidenomics. I said that most of those metrics related to the recovery from the COVID shutdown, not to anything that the Biden administration did during his tenure.
This was confirmed by recently published government data that showed that job openings had dropped 33% from 12 million in the first half of 2024 to less than 8 million in the second half of the year. There were an estimated 7.4 million unfilled jobs on the last day of September, a drop from August’s revised tally of 7.86 million openings, according to new data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The largest drop-offs in openings were in industries that have driven much of the job growth in recent years: healthcare and social assistance and government, according to the report.
This doesn’t bode well for the industries I mentioned above.
Meanwhile, major employers continue to shed workers all over the nation.
For example, the US lost 46,000 manufacturing jobs in October, bringing the total loss to 78,000 during the third quarter of the year.
“Once we get past the holiday season,” one commentator I follow said recently, “retailers are going to be dropping like flies.”
This feels to me like a genuine possibility. For example, Party City, a craft retailer with 850 stores across the nation, is considering filing for bankruptcy, after the company surfaced from Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
Also in the news: 670 Family Dollar stores have been shut down.
And this comes after tens of thousands of retail stores in the US have been shuttered in 2024.
And as anyone following the US economy knows, inflation has continued to eat away at the dollar’s spending power. One recent survey found that about a third of all US households have been forced to cut back spending just to make ends meet.
Most Americans Are Feeling the Pinch
A recent Lending Tree study that analyzed US Census Bureau Household Pulse Survey data from Aug. 20, 2024 to Sep. 16, 2024 found that more than 34% of respondents said they had to cut back or skip spending on certain necessary expenses at least once over the past year in order to pay their energy bills.
However, my prediction is that none of this will have a significant short-term effect on the stock market and the other assets favored by high-net-worth and high-income consumers. In other words, I’m not anticipating seeing the market crash any time soon. But “soon” for me means 6 to 12 months.
Based on the reading I’ve done on the US economy as a whole, I am anticipating a major correction of some kind during Trump’s second term. And that’s because the macro-economic facts are so bad.
Here’s What Really Concerns Me…The Incredible Size of US Debt
There is no doubt about it in my mind. The biggest threat to the future of the US economy is US federal debt. As I write this, it is $36 trillion and counting.
To give you a sense of how big that is, consider this: Non-defense outlays were barely 5% of GDP until after WWII. Now they are around 20%.
And as David Stockman points out: “That’s just the annual charge. Regulation and debt are cumulative. And they’ve been building up for decades. They now cause so much delay and useless expense that much of Americans’ output is squandered… or never produced at all.”
And get this: The interest payments that our government must pay on that debt is more than $1 trillion a year!
That trillion dollars is about 4% of our entire economy’s entire economic output.
And remember, debt payments are not for future projects but for programs already enacted years and in some cases decades ago.
If that isn’t bad enough, the National Association of Manufacturers estimates that federal government regulations are costing US taxpayers an additional $3 trillion per year.
“Between the two,” Stockman says, “that’s about 15% of America’s entire GDP.”
No wonder most people have made very little real economic progress in the last half a century.
Government Overspending Continues
As you probably know, the Senate voted 76-20 a week ago to pass what is called the Social Security Fairness Act. It was promoted as a measure that would bring the retirement benefits for public employees to the same level as private employees receive.
In fact, according to the WSJ, it was a package of extra bonuses and benefits – so much so that Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer called it a “well-deserved Christmas gift.”
“This is political flim-flam,” a WSJ opinion piece stated. “Retirement benefits for government employees are at least comparable to similarly paid private workers, and they are often much more generous for those who meet requirements for a defined-benefit pension.”
In fact, the bill reversed reforms passed in the 1980s to rescue Social Security that kept public employees in step with everyone else under Social Security’s benefit formula. It will cost taxpayers an estimated $196 billion over 10 years.
Mandatory social benefit programs like Social Security consume more than 70% of the federal budget. The bill would add additional billions in costs.
Meanwhile, Social Security is already running a $4 trillion 10-year deficit, and it’s on pace for an automatic 21% benefit cut by 2033.
This is not a Democrat/Republican issue. The GOP-led House passed the changes, 327-75, with Republicans in favor by nearly two to one. And 27 GOP senators voted in favor.
Can Anyone Fix a Problem This Big?
Trump has recruited Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to head up a team to drastically slash federal spending and eventually put the US fiscal and monetary system back on solid ground.
But that’s an enormous job. Some would say impossible. I’d like to believe the dynamic duo can make it happen. But based on what Congress just did, I’m not sanguine.
P.S. As I said above, Trump is in position to fix a lot of things that are broken right now in America. The fixes won’t be easy, but with the right expertise to carry out his plans along with a Congress and media that is open to improvements, we could be looking at four years of extraordinary reform and progress in many sectors. But of all the challenges Trump and his administration will face, none is greater than US federal debt. Here are two pieces by David Stockman that spell out the enormous problem of the US’s $36 trillion in debt.
Part I: The Mother of All Debt Crisis
Part II: The Fiscal Jig is Up
Important News You Probably Missed (Because the Mainstream Media Hardly Mentioned It)
The Reportage on the New Orleans Massacre:
Advocacy Journalism, Prejudice, and Cowardice
I was hugely disappointed to see how the Legacy media covered Wednesday’s Islamic terrorist attack in New Orleans. They continued their 8-year policy of tailoring their coverage according to their disdain for Trump and his supporters – even after the election gave them a clear warning to change their sordid ways.
The Washington Post, the NYT, CNN, and MSNBC were in lockstep in what they reported and what they didn’t during the first 4 to 6 hours after the massacre. I was watching as much as I could of it, because I was hoping they would do a better job, but I spent most of my time looking at the digital feeds coming in from the NYT and Washington Post.
What I saw were two short interviews with Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, who said nothing of substance and refused to answer questions about whether the incident was a terrorist attack, and several press releases coming from the White House, ostensibly from President Biden, that were themselves vagaries and platitudes.
Biden administration representatives went out of their way to assure viewers that there was “no reason to believe” the massacre – by a Muslim driver driving a car with an ISIS flag inside of it – was in any way an Islamist attack. And the Legacy media reported it without question.
I did see one report on President Elect Donald Trump’s response to the attack. Instead of presenting Trump’s comments as they were, the reporter accused him of making false and misleading statements and chastised him for suggesting that the attack was initiated, planned, and executed by Muslim terrorists in the States.
The NYT is famous for being on the wrong side of history, starting with WWII. In the past 10 years or so, the Washington Post has outpaced them with assertions of “false claims” and “conspiracy theories” that were later disproven.
Do their editors still believe, after seeing their circulations drop since 2016 – not to mention the surveys indicating that the public’s trust in them is in the toilet – that it’s smart journalism to continue with their failed political propaganda? Does Jeff Bezos still think it’s good for business?
Chicago’s Legendary Government Corruption Continues
Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson’s handpicked school board voted 6-0 to fire a local politician who opposed a super-costly deal with the local schoolteacher’s union that will make the already well-paid teachers wealthier while potentially bankrupting the city. Click here.
Republicans Move to Cut Taxes for Expats
As someone who does business abroad, this is an issue I’ve always been interested in. Did you know that the US is one of only a handful of countries that taxes its citizens on their worldwide income? That may sound reasonable if you don’t consider the negative impact this has on US citizens getting jobs outside of the country. Following up on Trump’s various campaign promises to reduced income and other taxes for all, Rep. Darin LaHood has proposed a revision to the IRS code that would let expatriate workers pay income taxes only where they live. Click here.
Rachel Levine Did What? No! This Can’t Be True!
When the Biden administration installed Admiral Rachel Levine as Secretary of Health and Human Resources, their PR team proudly announced that “she” was the first transwoman to serve as the head of that huge organization. I wonder if they were surprised to learn that one of Admiral Levine’s accomplishments would be to quietly remove age restrictions on their guidelines for “gender affirming care.” Click here.
Another Biden Administration Farewell F-Y to the Country
I don’t think Biden did this. After the public humiliation of ousting him for Harris, I think he felt he got his payback with Trump’s win. This, along with a half-dozen other wasteful and damaging presidential orders recently given (including giving Pfizer and Moderna another four years of vaccine liability protection) must have come from the mysterious Hillary-Barrack-Nancy) cabal that’s been running the government for the last four years. Click here and here.
Musk & Ramaswamy Want More Visas for Foreign Workers?
With the H-1B Visa program, Big Tech is allowed to bring in 60,000 skilled foreign workers each year to work at lower wages than those who are full citizens. Click here.
Kids’ Cereal Will Be Less Colorful and Less Dangerous in 2025
You may have seen it. RFK Jr. made a video several months ago explaining the dangers of Red No. 40, the food dye that has been a staple in the American diet for decades. Despite the significant and proven health risks associated with the chemical, the Big Food lobby has managed to protect the multi-billion-dollar industry from regulation. RFK Jr. had promised to make this a priority in January. But like so many other campaign pledges made in the months before the election, this one is being kept before Trump takes office. Click here.
Beleaguered NY Mayor Eric Adams Opens Up About Sex Trafficking
“We have 500,000 children who had sponsors in this country that we can’t find. We can’t find them. We don’t know if they’re doing child labor. We don’t know if they’re doing sex crimes. We don’t know if they’re being exploited.” “500,000 children,” he reiterated. “We don’t know where they are right now in this country.” Click here.
The Economic Miracle in Argentina Continues
Argentina has emerged from what many felt was going to be a deep and endless recession, thanks to the extraordinary leadership of President Javier Milei. A self-described anarcho-capitalist and political outsider, Milei was swept into office on the promise that he would end political corruption, reduce government spending, and balance the budget. And in 12 short months, it appears he’s done that. Click here.
Like Here in the US, Germany’s Open-Border Policy Is Failing
Like most developed countries, Germany’s native population is shrinking and therefore needs immigrants to support the future of its economy. And that was one of the reasons it began to loosen its immigration restrictions in 2010 and then open them wide five years later under Chancellor Angela Merkel. Not surprisingly, since 2015, the percentage of non-citizens living in Germany has doubled, from about 6 million in 2010 to about 12 million today (about 15% of the total population). However, because Germany has a generous social welfare system, a significant percentage of these immigrants have been receiving public assistance but without assimilating into the culture. And as happened in Sweden and Italy, and so many other European countries, the public attitude towards immigration is souring fast. Click here.
5 Silly, Irrelevant, but Curious Stories You Missed in 2024
* Thirteen wild sharks off the coast of Rio de Janeiro tested positive for cocaine.
* A pigeon spent eight months detained by Indian officials before it was cleared of being a Chinese spy.
* Kenza Layli, a completely AI-generated Moroccan influencer, bested nine other bots in a contest held by Fanvue, a platform for human and AI creators.
* A good year for baseball players. Juan Soto managed to beat out Shohei Ohtani’s 10-year, $700 million contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Soto landed a 15-year, $765 million contract with the New York Mets, setting a new record in sports history.
* And for Ohtani’s 50th home run baseball, which sold at auction for a record-breaking $4.39 million.
Do Rich People Pay Their “Fair Share” of Taxes?
Judge for yourself:
* The top 1% of income-tax filers in 2022 earned 20% of total earnings but paid 40% of all tax revenue the IRS collected.
* The top 10% of income-tax filers in 2022 earned 27% of total earnings but paid 70% of total tax revenues the IRS collected.
* The top 25% of income-tax filers in 2022 earned 60% of all income but paid 88% of total tax revenues the IRS collected.
* While the bottom 50% of income-tax filers in 2022 earned 70% of all but about 12% of total earnings but paid only 4% of total tax revenues the IRS collected.
Note: These figures overstate the actual income-tax burden shouldered by the bottom 50%, because “refundable” credits paid to those with no tax liability are treated as spending and aren’t reflected in the IRS numbers. This means tens of millions of Americans have income-tax rates that are effectively negative. That is, they get what amounts to a welfare check from the government.
Click here.
How AI is Like Biowarfare
By Sam Schechner in the WSJ
As mentioned in my Journal, above, I’m working on an essay spelling out what I’ve been learning recently about the amazing advances with robotics and AI – what I think is going to happen, how soon, and what I’m going to do about it. So far, my outlook is not sanguine. Here’s an example of why I’m worried.
Yes, America Should Absolutely Annex Greenland!
By Jordan Schachtel in The Dossier
In a post on Truth Social, Trump announced the nomination of PayPal co-founder Ken Howery to serve as the next US Ambassador to Denmark, writing: “For purposes of National Security and Freedom throughout the World, the United States of America feels that the ownership and control of Greenland is an absolute necessity.” Click here for Schachtel’s take on this.
The Cruelty Is the Point
By Yasha Mounk on Substack
“After Donald Trump won reelection, scores of Americans once again failed to make good on their loudly shared and oft-repeated plan of moving to Canada; but a good number of them did partake in a different, rather less cumbersome, exodus. Complaining that Twitter had been unrecognizably transformed under the ownership of Elon Musk – whom they also blame for supporting Trump – hundreds of thousands of progressives decamped to Bluesky.” Read more here.
The American Ambassador Who Tried to Prevent Pearl Harbor
By Steve Kemper in Smithsonian Magazine
“The ambassador woke, stirred by some faint shift. The clock said 1 a.m. Half asleep, he glanced out the porthole at the dark waters of Tokyo Bay, with Yokohama silhouetted beyond, so familiar after a week’s confinement aboard the anchored Asama Maru. A piece of driftwood slipped by, moving a bit too fast, then another moving faster.” Read more here.
From Forbes: The World’s Most Powerful Women
As economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions reshape the global order in 2024, a critical question emerges: Is women’s power advancing or retreating? Click here.
* How Underwater Tunnels Are Built
Watch Time: 1 min.
Cleo Abrams explains how the Chunnel was built.
* An Elevator Expert Explains How to Move People Up 118 Floors, Fast
Watch Time: 8 min.
A breakdown of what’s involved in designing an elevator system that meets people’s expectations while also balancing cost and space.
* String Theory Explained in One Minute
Watch Time: 60 seconds
This got me halfway there.
* Brain Challenge: Extrapolating Patterns Without Proof
Watch Time: about 1 min.
I couldn’t figure this out. Maybe you can.
Five Serious/Edifying Videos Stories You Should Watch
* What Is Going on with Those Mysterious Drones?
Watch Time: 16 min.
Gordon Chang tells Forbes what he thinks
* She Survived an Attempted Honor Killing
Watch Time: 30 min.
If you don’t think culture is everything, watch this testimony by Nina Aouilk, whose father and brothers forced her into an abusive marriage she didn’t want, to have a baby against her will, and then attempted to murder her with an “honor killing.”
* The JFK Assassination: Three Interviews
1. Watch Time: 1 hr. 20 min.
A 1994 interview with former mobster James E. Files, who confessed to being the man on the grassy knoll that shot JFK.
2. Watch Time: close to 3 hrs.
If you are up for it, compare Files’s 1994 interview to this 2003 interview and see how consistent the story remains after nine years.
3. Watch Time: 15.5 min.
Roger Stone tells the story of how he came to know that LBJ was behind the Kennedy assassination.
Four Short but Cool Video Clips That Will Make You Smile
Watch Time: 1 min.
Meet Zhang Sixuan, a remarkable 9-year-old who just became the 2024 World Shaolin Kung Fu star!
Afroman presents Hunter Got High
Watch Time: about 4 min.
If you’ve never seen an Afroman music production before, you will appreciate his wit with this take on Hunter Biden.
Elle Cordova: Battle of the Fonts
Watch Time: about 2 min.
I’ve featured Elle Cordova before. Her sense of humor is so smart and unusual.
Dancing Marionette Paints Portraits
Watch Time: 1 min.
The person manipulating this marionette is amazingly skillful.