Why I’m a Conservative, Part III

In Part I and Part II of this longish essay, I tried to make two points.

In Part I, I pointed out that one of the reasons humans have survived for 160,000+ years is that they became sapient. And, as Yuval Harari, and many others, have pointed out, sapience, in its evolved stages, is mostly about making communal, not individual, decisions.

That’s why anthropological and psychological studies of group decision-making are so important. And when we look at those studies, we see that with all primates – and, in fact, with almost all mammals – group decision-making is not about simply following a leader. For one thing, the leader only lasts as long as his actions are good for the entire group. Plus, to effect any significant change, the leader needs the buy-in of influential members of the rest of the group.

For simplicity’s sake – and notwithstanding the problems of oversimplifying such a complex subject – I suggested the group could be divided into subgroups defined in terms of their knowledge and experience.

In Part II, I attempted to illustrate how these subgroups might interact in group decision-making by imagining how it might play out in a Native American (Indian) culture. I suggested a scene where key members of the tribe had assembled to decide whether or not to go to war with another tribe.

The inexperienced braves, I said, thinking only of the righteousness of their cause, would be all too eager to prove themselves in battle. The more experienced warriors, aware of the potential for both positive and negative outcomes for the tribe, would be cautious about going forward. The aged chief, having by far the most experience, would make the final decision. But first, he brings the group together by acknowledging the feelings of the inexperienced braves, acknowledging the specific knowledge of the older warriors, and then sharing his wisdom by telling a story.

To put this into a more real and contemporary context, I talked about how the same hierarchy exists in the modern military – with decisions made by the top brass taking into consideration how they will affect everyone from the inexperienced recruits at the bottom to the troop and platoon leaders who will be tasked with leading them into battle.

And I pointed out that this interactive structure occurs in every kind of group decision-making that Homo sapiens make – from business, to politics, to sports, education, charitable projects, book clubs, drug-rehab associations, and so on.

In other words, in every type of human interaction (that endures over time), there are three subgroups: the ignorant, the knowledgeable, and the wise. And those that make the best decisions for the group as a whole are not necessarily those that have the smartest and most knowledgeable leaders, but those that involve every member of the group in an appropriate way.

If we look at it from an evolutionary perspective, it’s about survival. Not about the survival of any one particular person or one particular gene pool. It’s about the survival of the species. And that depends, in large part, on the fact that nurturing and sharing have been imbedded in our individual DNAs.

Nature has ordained that all members of a society should have a role in making important decisions that affect the well-being of the entire group. Which ties directly to my argument that the sort of thinking that is good for us as a species is that which includes all but gives deference to the wise.

So that’s what I’m going to argue next. That we all start off ignorant and respond to external conditions with the naïveté of the ignorant. But it’s our responsibility as we move into adulthood and old age to become, as much as possible, wise.

In Part IV of this essay, I’ll tell you why most of what’s wrong with America today is due to my generation’s (the Baby Boomers’) refusal to become wise.

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ADUs Are Hot

If you don’t know what an ADU is, you are in need of some emergency investment education.

ADUs (accessory dwelling units) are miniature houses the size of a large tool shed that are outfitted as complete residences. They are sometimes converted attics, basements, or garages. But they can also be freestanding.

They are a fast-growing trend across the US, and that makes sense. In an economy with high house prices, rising interest rates, and dollar-damaging inflation, having an extra dwelling on your property that can bring in extra cash each month is nothing but a good idea.

ADUs are also good for municipalities that are looking to increase real estate tax revenues. And they’re a boon to young couples and other new homebuyers that can’t afford $300,000 for a “start-up” home.

When a new business or economic trend benefits every constituent in the market, it’s a pretty safe bet that the trend will accelerate. That’s how I see the emerging ADU industry.

(By the way, I’m not talking about “tiny homes” here, which are very different than ADUs and IMHO a passing trend that I would not invest in.)

Click here.

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Blood Pressure Drugs: Are They Any Better (or Safer) Than Statins?

For the last 10 years, PB, one of my trainers, has been taking my blood pressure at least three times every time I train. Two or three times a week. In all that time, my systolic numbers ranged from 110 to 120, while my diastolic numbers ranged from 70 to 80. That’s healthy for someone my age.

About a month ago, though, my blood pressure was 190/110. Which is considered “dangerous.” We continued with the training, but at a moderate pace, and he took several more measurements. They varied somewhat but were all too high. Over the next few days, they varied from normal to scary high.

I called my primary care physician. He told me that high blood pressure at my age is common. And he wrote me a prescription.

That sort of knee-jerk resort to prescribing a drug worried me. I did some research and discovered that blood pressure medication is effective in controlling symptoms (i.e., the numbers). But, like the statins prescribed for high cholesterol, has not been effective in extending life.

When I mentioned that fact to my doctor at my next appointment, he didn’t dispute it. “But it will reduce your chance of getting a debilitating stroke,” he said.

“Fair enough,” I thought. But in researching that claim, I couldn’t find any studies that persuaded me it was true.

I was in a dilemma. My rational brain was telling me that neither the cholesterol drug I was taking nor the blood pressure drug was going to do me any good. But it also reminded me that the research I’d done was limited, as was my experience. Which made it impossible to consult with my limbic brain to see if it could guide me in this matter.

So, I decided to take a halfway measure. Literally. Currently, I’m taking the statin and the blood pressure drug. But at half the doses recommended by my doctor. (Don’t bother writing to tell me what’s wrong with this as a “solution.” I know that. But if you have a better one, backed up with believable data, let me know.)

Meanwhile, I discovered that the dramatic and quick onset of high blood pressure, such as what I experienced, can be a side effect of taking – as I am doing – a combination of blood thinners, statins, and anti-depressants. And if that’s true… what to do?

I’m reporting on this not to subject you, dear reader, to a never-ending account of my health issues, but to throw some light on protocols and practices of modern medicine that are widely accepted but, in fact, have little if any science behind them. In all the research I’ve been doing, I haven’t found reliable solutions to any of the most common modern illnesses (cancer, heart disease, diabetes, and obesity). But I have discovered that many of the recommended, state-of-the-art treatments are defective.

Speaking of which, BM, a regular reader of this blog, has been sending me links to relevant material, the most recent of which I’m passing on to you here.

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He’s Back!

If you’ve seen any of the films he’s been featured in – especially Free Solo, which won an Oscar for Best Documentary – I don’t have to tell you that he’s an amazing athlete, an astonishingly high-level technician, and irresistibly likable on screen.

Free Solo (2018) was undeniably a great movie. (I mentioned it in my review of The Alpinist, a documentary about his fellow rock climber Marc-André LeClerc.) And I felt it deserved the Oscar and all of the other many awards it won. But, frankly, I found it stressful to watch him climbing up a sheer cliff, hundreds or even thousands of feet in the sky, barely holding on by his toes and fingertips, knowing that a single slip could result in death.

I thought that was the last I would see of Honnold. But I came across several filmed climbs he’s done since then, including HURT (an acronym for Honnold’s Ultimate Red Rock Traverse), a 35-minute record of him knocking off 35 miles of rugged desert terrain, 23,000 feet of climbing, and 20 named summits. Click here.

And here are trailers for some of his other movies:

* Free Solo

* Reel Rock

* Explorer: The Last Tepui

* Valley Uprising

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Ayn Rand

In the early 1960s, Ayn Rand was one of the most influential intellectuals in America. Today, her first name appears now and then in crossword puzzles. If you don’t know who she is, here’s a brief introduction…

Click here to listen to Ayn Rand “On Happiness” (1961).

And click here for a short video about her philosophy of Objectivism.

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Quick Bites: The “Voice of North Korea,” Bye Bye Biden, Bots in the Boardroom, the Return of the Panther, and a Lot of Hot Air
  1. I’ve started following a few vlogs and blogs from defectors from North Korea. Yeonmi Park’s is one of them. Click here.
  2. More fodder to support my Sept. 19 prediction that Gavin Newsom, not Joe Biden, will be the presidential contender for the Dems. You would have never seen this six months ago. Not even three months ago. Biden will step down soon. Click here.
  3. Who’s the new person in the meeting?Companies are starting to use AI tools as meeting minders, setting them to track how long a person has been speaking and then offer advice on pace, tone, and verbal flubs. Some workers are also using tools that record, analyze, and summarize what has been said, allowing them to skip gatherings entirely and skim the highlights. Click here.
  4. America’s most endangered cat could help save Florida. The panther is making a comeback, but a development boom threatens its survival. Click here.
  5. Photos from the Albuquerque International Balloon Fiesta. Click here.
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From SL: 

“Have you read Boomsday by Chris Buckley? Great satire, and increasingly relevant today.”

My Response: I have not read it, SL. I do know that, according to Wikipedia, it’s a political satire about the rivalry between Baby Boomers and their children, who don’t want to pay high taxes to support their parents’ and their parent’s siblings’ retirements.

Sounds familiar, right? So, yes, it’s as relevant today as it was when it was first published in 2007.

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“Israel! Go to Hell!”

In response to the attack on Israel by Hamas, Bari Weiss introduced Tuesday’s issue of The Free Press by saying:

“On the one hand I think: Surely this will be sufficient. Surely this amount of blood will be enough to shake the world awake. Surely no one can equivocate or justify this. As my friend Sarah Haider wrote, ‘How easy is it to simply condemn targeted violence against civilians? Can there be a lower bar?’

“And yet, across the world, people have sunk below it.”

I thought, given the scale and ferocity of the attack, that Weiss must be wrong. That most Americans, conservative and liberal alike, would be condemning the action. Especially since the attack was so ferocious and the bloodshed was so indiscriminate.

But that’s not what happened. When I forwarded the issue to a group of my friends, some thanked me, affirming Weiss’s sentiment. But some others indicated that they disagreed, and that Israel’s treatment of the Palestinians over the years somehow justified the attack. One said he thought the Israelis “deserved” it.

What I know about the Arab-Israeli conflict is more or less what anyone that has been “impartially” following it in the media for 40+ years knows. I was vaguely familiar with arguments on both sides. But considering the brutality of the Hamas soldiers, I thought that those that were sympathetic to the Palestinians’ plight would at least moderate their responses.

And brutal it was. We know, for example, that they paraglided into a music festival and proceeded to slaughter men, rape woman, and kidnap children, beheading some of them on the spot, and recording and publishing many of their barbarous acts. In one instance, a Hamas soldier took a woman’s cellphone, used it to film him butchering her, and then sent the video to her Facebook page so her friends and family back in Tel Aviv could see his handiwork.

And now they are threatening to execute the hostages they have captured on live television.

This is not the first time we’ve seen this sort of barbarity by radical Muslims. But I don’t think we’ve ever seen the sort of moderate and even defensive reaction to it that this attack has generated.

“People gathered at the Sydney Opera House,” Weiss wrote, “cheering ‘gas the Jews’ and ‘death to the Jews.’ People are rejoicing in the slaughter on the streets of Berlin and London and Toronto and New York…. At our most prestigious universities there is silence from administrations that leapt to speak out on George Floyd’s killing and on the war in Ukraine.”

And among other things, she included this from a report on Oct. 9 by Olivia Reingold and Francesca Block:

“Young girls in hijabs waved Palestinian flags in the street. Men in ski masks hung from scaffolding chanting, ‘Israel, go to hell.’ And pamphlets rained from the sky, lauding the recent violence by Hamas as ‘heroic.’

“This wasn’t the Middle East. This was Midtown Manhattan, home to the second-largest Jewish population in the world after Israel, just days after Israel was ambushed by Hamas in the deadliest terrorist attack in the country’s history.”

If you have the stomach to read more, click here.

And if you’re interested in the mechanics of the attack – how and why it worked so horrifically well – click here.

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Will Boomers Save the Economy?

Rates Rising = Less Spending = Looming Recession. Right?

That’s what I expected. I’ve been puzzled by how the Fed’s rate increases haven’t significantly reduced consumer spending. I mean I was not surprised at the level of spending that was going on after the COVID Cash Boondoggle. But by the beginning of this year, I figured (and had read) that most of that cash was back in circulation. Not to mention that job growth has been slowing and student-debt loan repayments have begun again.

A recent piece by Gwynn Guilford in the WSJ shed light on the conundrum. It’s about the spending habits of my generation. Baby Boomers, 65 and older.

In August, 17.7% of the population was 65 or older, according to the US Census Bureau. That was, Guilford noted, “the highest on record going back to 1920 and up sharply from 13% in 2010.”

“The elderly aren’t just more numerous,” she wrote. “Their finances are relatively healthy, and they have less need to borrow (such as to buy a house) and are less at risk of layoffs than other consumers.”

Added to that, they have less debt than their children and fewer big purchases in their futures – like new homes or college funds – to spend money on.

And listen to this: As a group, they are sitting on $771 trillion in wealth!

Read more here.

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