“Peak Stupid!”

I’ve said in previous blog posts that I’m sure NFTs will be widely used in the art world over the next ten years. Not as art pieces themselves, but as digital ID tags that can be attached to each individual piece of art to prevent forgeries. I still think that is true.

But those weren’t the NFTs that made front page news in the art world. The NFTs everyone was talking about were digital art works that were being bought up for millions and tens of millions by digital billionaires.

I had little confidence in that use of NFTs. And what’s happened in recent months has persuaded me that I was right. The NFT-as-art craze has collapsed as quickly as the NFT market generally.

A little video made by a rich guy in Miami could have been a signal that the NFT-as-art boom had gone too far. The video shows him – at a party he threw to announce a collection of Frida Kahlo NFTs – destroying a drawing of hers that was supposedly worth $10 million.

I have a tough time believing that (1) anyone would destroy an original Frida Kahlo and (2) the drawing, if authentic, was worth anything close to what he claimed. In any case, when Number Three Son saw the story, he saw it as the top of the market, calling it “peak stupid.”

He was right. The NFT market crashed just a few weeks later.

Read about it here.

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Two Recommended Netflix Series: The Extraordinary Attorney Woo and Atypical

Extraordinary Attorney Woo 

16 episodes

Original release: June 29 to Aug. 18, 2022

Developed by Kim Chul-yeon

Available only on Netflix

Have you seen Extraordinary Attorney Woo? Several people have recommended it to me recently. It’s a South Korean TV series about Woo Young-woo, a female rookie attorney with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) who gets a job with an upscale law firm. Despite her handicap, she employs her high intelligence and photographic memory to win seemingly impossible cases.

I’ve watched several episodes and can understand why it’s getting so much attention. It is topical. It is charming. The lead actor is pretty. And it follows the standard protocol for a short, dramatic series.

It’s good, but I don’t think it’s nearly as good as Atypical, a US-based series about Sam, a teenager on the spectrum, and his life as he moves from high school to college.

 

Atypical 

Original release: Aug. 11, 2017 to July 9, 2021

4 seasons, 38 episodes

Created by Robia Rashid for Netflix

Starring Jennifer Jason Leigh, Keir Gilchrist, and Brigette Lundy-Paine

Available on various streaming services, including Netflix and Amazon Prime

Although I’d define Extraordinary Attorney Woo as a lawyer drama and Atypical as a family comedy, there are many similarities between the two. In fact, since it was produced five years after Atypical debuted, it’s hard to believe that Woois NOT a knockoff of the American series.

As I said, Atypical is better. It covers more ground (topically, emotionally, and drastically) than Woo, while maintaining the same level of charm. The characters are more nuanced, too. Sam, for example, isn’t solving problems in every episode. In some episodes, he succeeds. In others, he fails. Plus, the secondary characters in Atypical have their own relationships with one another, which are in themselves interesting.

If you’ve seen neither series, you can get a hint of what I’m saying by looking at their trailers.

For Extraordinary Attorney Woo, click here.

For Atypical, click here.

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Are You Making This Mistake? 

At the end of the day, I often watch a movie or episode of a series on my iPad as a sort of reward for my day’s work. I’m not alone in this. About 90% of Americans spend time on their phones or iPads just before going to bed.

There’s problem with that. According to many studies, including a recent one by the University of Haifa, the blue light emitted from such electronic devices reduces melatonin and, therefore, shortens sleep.

The solution is simple. Watch what you want to watch earlier in the evening. But for at least a half-hour before bedtime, read something that is printed. Like an actual book or magazine.

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On the importance of being at least a little bit contrarian:

“Let’s start with a test: Do you have any opinions that you would be reluctant to express in front of a group of your peers? If the answer is no, you might want to stop and think about that. If everything you believe is something you’re supposed to believe, could that possibly be a coincidence? Odds are it isn’t. Odds are you just think whatever you’re told.” – Paul Graham

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inside Paradise Palms…

The conservancy that I’m developing in West Delray Beach, FL, has one of the largest and best-curated palm tree collections in the world, as well as a growing collection of outdoor sculptures, a traditionally styled Japanese tea house, a stock of African cycads, and dozens of other exotic plants and trees.

Here’s one of the palms:

A young “red” Highland Betel Nut Palm

Binomial name: Areca macrocalyx

This species is found in New Guinea, Maluku, and Solomon Island rainforests. It is sometimes referred to as a dwarf palm as it only grows to 12 feet. In the “red” variety (which is considered rare), the crown shaft turns bright red as it grows. Its nut is similar to those of other betel nut species, and is used as a stimulant.

For more information about Paradise Palms, click here.

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“I don’t expect you to remember me, but I met you over a decade ago at an event in Florida where you spoke. We chatted briefly at the bar. And that inspired me. I have read and followed you for years and I just want to say ‘thank you’ and I am glad to hear that you survived your two strokes. It seems to have been a wake-up call and I hope you treat it as such. Take care and be well.” – VM

 

“I’m so – SO – happy to still be reading your blog!” – MS

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Far Out published two lists of “favorite songs” – one from Brian Wilson and the other from Robert Downey Jr. I’d have thought that I would much prefer to be friends with Robert Downey Jr., but maybe I was wrong. I thought Brian Wilson’s picks were much closer to my own.

To read about Robert Downey Jr’s favorites, click here.

To read about Brian Wilson’s, click here.

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Old Friends

 I’ve been in Myrtle Beach since Tuesday evening, a few days late to a yearly get together with some old friends. Golfing is the game that gives the week its official purpose. And when this annual reunion began, more than 20 years ago, most of us were golfing earnestly, sometimes twice a day. But over the years, the spirit of competition and even the enthusiasm for the game itself has waned, along with any hopes any of us ever had of becoming truly good golfers.

What’s left is what we had to begin with. An easy sort of friendship that began for some of us in high school and has continued, against all odds, throughout the years. At times, when I consider what different careers we’ve had, and how dispersed we are geographically, it seems miraculous that we are still connected.

But perhaps that’s the point, the link that ties us still together. Friendship, like marriage, endures only if it’s flexible and forgiving. If we want too much from it, we will likely be disappointed. But if we want too little from it, so little that we don’t at least give it the attention it needs, it will disappear.

What I expect from my friends in terms of companionship is what I expect from them in terms of their golf games. They will play with the same energy, enthusiasm, and good will as they have always played – just as I will… and that will be enough.

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War and Peace in Business:

What Kind of Leader Are You?

A colleague recently sent me an article titled “Peacetime CEO/Wartime CEO.” It was written by Ben Horowitz, cofounder and partner of Andreesen Horowitz, a venture capital firm. The thesis: When a business is mature and growing slowly, it is well served by a CEO that is adept at managing size and stability. But when a business is “facing an imminent existential threat,” it needs an entirely different kind of leader. Someone that is single-minded and tough. Someone willing to make decisions that no one else will.

Horowitz calls the first type a “Peacetime” CEO,” and the second a “Wartime” CEO.

The article was meant to advance a conversation we’ve been having about a company in which we are partners. After decades of growth and a decade of industry dominance, the business is floundering. The first signs of trouble arose two years ago, at which time each of the individual divisions began taking steps to move their businesses back onto solid ground. Since then, we’ve noticed that (1) some of our subsidiaries are faring better than others in regaining profitability, and (2) those that are doing better are being managed very differently than those that continue to struggle.

If Horowitz were advising us, he’d probably tell us to look at our CEOs, figure out whether they are equipped for war or peace, and then give the peacetime CEOs a choice: Change your ways or let someone else take the wheel.

I have my own theory of leadership, which I’ve written about over the years. My idea is that there are two kinds of business leaders: those that are good at growing businesses and those that are good at managing them after they’ve grown. I call the first kind Growers and the second kind Tenders.

Growers are not better than Tenders. Businesses need both. But at different times and in different places. When businesses are young, they need Growers at the helm, with Tenders reporting to them. When businesses are mature, they need Tenders at the helm, with Growers helping them develop newer parts of the business.

Horowitz’s Peacetime CEOs are very similar to my Tenders. They are thoughtful and analytical. They are capable of multitasking. And they love making plans and solving problems. They don’t like making mistakes. And they are careful about what they say. They have these preferences and characteristics because they understand that keeping a mature business running profitably is a huge challenge that requires constant attention to the three Ps: people, protocols, and products.

Wartime CEOs and Growers are also similar. They are goal-oriented and accomplishment-driven. They tend to be narrowly focused. Once they make a decision, they like to move quickly. And they don’t like people second-guessing their decisions and slowing them down. They recognize that problems need to be solved. But they expect their subordinate managers to solve them. They understand that growing a business or saving a struggling one requires extraordinary singularity of purpose. It calls for the CEO to focus almost exclusively on Job Number One. And get it done, whatever the cost.

Steve Jobs is an example. A Type-A personality, he was a natural Grower. And he grew Apple aggressively to an astonishing level of success before he was fired and replaced by someone that was less impulsive and entrepreneurial. His replacement may have fit the bill in terms of the kind of personality Apple’s board was looking for. But he couldn’t keep the company growing. And for a company like Apple, that meant it began to lose its momentum and fall behind. When Jobs was finally asked to return to Apple, he came back as a Wartime CEO, and made the radical changes needed to get Apple back on top.

As for the business I’m writing about, my partners and I have no plans to recruit warriors to replace our peacetime leaders. But we do want to persuade them to put on their helmets and start making tough and decisive decisions like wartime leaders. Here’s how they can do that…

How Peacetime Managers Can Become Wartime Generals 

Dealing with Problems: Peacetime CEOs and Tenders see their primary job as identifying and solving problems. To become more like Wartime CEOs and Growers, they have to severely limit the number of things they are paying attention to. Instead of trying to stay on top of a dozen issues, they need to identify the two or three that will make the greatest difference in accomplishing their primary goal and spend 80% of their time and energy on them. This will undoubtedly create additional problems. But they must resist their impulse to solve those problems and delegate the responsibility to others.

Conflict: Peacetime CEOs and Tenders see their primary job as helping the business run smoothly. And because they see conflicts – whether systemic or personal – as threats to the continued smooth running of the business, they focus on eliminating those conflicts. To become more like Wartime CEOs and Growers, they need to focus, instead, on the two or three things that will bring the business back to profitable growth – and make it clear to every employee that they must be focused on the same thing. They need to emphasize that any problems that might arise have to be resolved by those involved.

Deviation and Creativity: Peacetime CEOs and Tenders allow for, and even encourage, deviations and experiments in order to foment good will and creativity. To become more like Wartime CEOs and Growers, they have to make it clear to their employees that until such time as the business is stable and profitable again, there will be a zero tolerance for deviation from the core plan. “If you want to keep your job,” they must imply, “you will toe the line.”

Team Building and Consensus: Peacetime CEOs and Tenders strive for broad-based buy-in and even consensus. To become more like Wartime CEOs and Growers, they need to explain to the troops that there is no room for anyone that is not enthusiastically with the team. They need to be able to back this up by firing the doubters and laggards. Saving and growing the business doesn’t just matter. It is the only thing that matters.

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To foment – from the Old French fomenter, “to apply a hot compress (to a wound)” – is to encourage or instigate. As I used it, above: “Peacetime CEOs and Tenders allow for, and even encourage, deviations and experiments in order to foment good will and creativity.”

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