The Digital Dollar Approaches

As I predicted in past issues, the US government is moving forward with its intention to put an end to cryptocurrencies and replace them with a digital dollar. And as noted on Feb. 3, it’s been happening a lot faster than I expected.

The first step was taken on Jan. 9 with the announcement that the Fed was “opening a review to determine the feasibility of having a US digital dollar.”

The next step was the March 9 EO from Biden, “Executive Order on Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets,” that includes a subsection – 5(b)(vii) – requiring the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) to begin working on an interagency report addressing “the potential for these [blockchain] technologies to impede or advance efforts to tackle climate change at home and abroad,” as well as “the effect of cryptocurrencies’ consensus mechanisms on energy usage.”

This is pretty clever. Instead of charging cryptocurrencies with playing a role in white-collar crime, drug running, and tax evasion (a rationale that will surely come next), the smart folks behind the digital dollar are leading the charge with this environmental concern.

And it’s interesting, because what makes certain cryptocurrencies so energy dependent is an algorithm that limits their production. It’s called proof of work (PoW).

PoW, which is used by Bitcoin, makes miners compete to solve a mathematical puzzle. The work involved in solving the puzzle becomes increasingly more complicated as the total number of the coins in circulation grows. Each calculation, then, becomes increasingly expensive, mostly in terms of electricity.

When Bitcoin debuted, a calculation could have cost the miner mere pennies. Now, each one costs tens of thousands of dollars.

This is a good thing, because it ensures that the value of each newly mined Bitcoin must increase. If it didn’t, there would be no point in spending money to mine them.

The ultimate goal is to make the Bitcoin anti-inflationary, just like the dollar was before President Nixon unshackled it from the value of gold. Since then, the actual value of the dollar has decreased by something like 99%.

If the people behind this were being honest, they would be saying, “We don’t like Bitcoin because if it one day replaces the dollar, we won’t be able to spend money we don’t have.” But they won’t say that, because it would lay bare a simple fact about our monetary policy: that it was purposely designed to let the government bribe voters with various programs it can’t afford.

Here’s the way I see the government’s current plan playing out:

* Introduce the idea of a digital dollar. (That’s already been done.)

* Start a campaign explaining why digital currencies are bad. (The March 9 EO was the first salvo.)

* Ramp up the advertising for the digital dollar as a solution to tax cheating and white-collar crime. (That’s coming next.)

* Roll out the digital dollar with major media support.

* Ban Bitcoin and all similar (i.e., anti-inflationary) digital currencies.

* Then be able to track, tax, and control the citizenry in every possible way.

Is a Crypto Winter Coming?

In his recent quarterly earnings call, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said, “Ironically… I’ve never been more bullish on where we are as a company.”

He said that in the midst of a cryptocurrency free-fall. Coinbase stock dropped 60% in five days.

Armstrong even admitted that he’s anticipating a so-called “crypto winter.” But he is confident that the company can survive it by making good use of its $7 billion balance sheet and by “hiring talent and acquiring companies.”

Maybe. I don’t think the cryptocurrency industry is over yet. There will likely be upticks in the future. But given the existential threat that cryptocurrencies pose to all governments that print fiat currencies, I’m betting they will become, in my lifetime, a thing of the past.

And I just saw this little news item:

 New York Senate Passes Moratorium on Bitcoin Mining 

Click here.

Maybe “good to know” is taking it too far. Here are five things I was amused by recently.

* Johns Hopkins students design edible tape to keep your burrito wrapped. Click here.

* US weddings are at their lowest in six decades. Click here.

* Exploring the United States of pizza. Click here.

* Science images selected by Nature magazine’s photo team. Click here.

* Inside the soon-to-open orbital space hotel. Click here.

Oaxaca, Mexico

I can’t believe it’s been more than 20 years since I was in Oaxaca (wa-HAH-ka) and I’ve never been back. I was so enchanted by it that I nearly bought a small house in the center of the city to use as a pied-à-terre. I didn’t. Oh well.

Number One Son was in high school, blond and blue-eyed. I remember walking down a street like the one above with him. He was talking animatedly about something, completely unaware of the Mexican girls gawking at him. When I caught their eyes, they blushed and laughed.

The city is known for its unique combination of Spanish colonial architecture and Mixtec and Zapotec cultural influences. It was, and I’m sure still is, a treasure trove of artifacts and opportunities, museums and art galleries, and craft stores of every sort. I bought a set of small paintings on tin that were made to beseech the saints for some desired good.

What to see in Oaxaca: 

* the Museo de las Culturas, one of Mexico’s best regional museums

* Museo Rufino Tamayo, including collections of pre-Columbian art once owned by the artist

* Monte Albán, one of the country’s most spectacular archeological sites

* the murals in Palacio de Gobierno

* Central de Abastos, a huge flea market on the outskirts of town

* Mercado Benito Juárez – a little touristy, but a great place to grab lunch and pick up some souvenirs

M.C. Escher Is Now a Movie

I became a fan of M.C. Escher, the Dutch artist, the moment I saw this print. His pictures seemed designed to draw me in and hold me in a way that was enticing but also disturbing. They are like some of Dali’s landscapes, but more puzzles than dreams.

In any case, there’s now a movie about him. Dutch filmmaker Robin Lutz has just released M.C. Escher: Journey to Infinity. According to a review on the Zeitgeist Films website, it provides an “entertaining, eye-opening portrait” of the artist “through his own words and images; diary musings, excerpts from lectures, correspondence and more.”

You can check it out here.

“He who wonders discovers that this in itself is wonderful.” – M.C. Escher

A pied-à-terre (pee-YAY-duh-tair) – French for “foot on the ground” – is a small apartment or house kept for occasional use. As I used it in today’s travel brief: “I was so enchanted by [Oaxaca] that I nearly bought a small house in the center of the city to use as a pied-à-terre. I didn’t. Oh well.”

Re the P.S. in the June 1 issue about Bob Dylan: 

“After reading so many insightful comments from you about art over the years, I’m surprised that your column linked to this… column about Bob Dylan being the greatest artist of all time.

“I’m a huge fan of both Dylan’s acoustic and electric work. Even as his already thin voice has worsened over the last couple decades, he has continued to turn out top-notch compositions and recordings with a superb cast of musicians. (‘Tempest’ is particularly strong.)

“But greatest artist of all time?” – AG

My answer: 

Okay… this should be embarrassing, but I don’t embarrass much anymore. First… Dylan is not even in my top 1,000 list. But I loved the teaser for the article. It made me want to read it. And so I put in the link as a PS, with the intention of reading it later.

But then I forgot! And I still haven’t read it! But I will…

Re the June 6 issue: 

“I love your newsletter. I always read it and sometimes print it off to read again more carefully later…. This was a good one, too.” – TD

New (to me, at least) comedian: Andrew Schulz. 

He’s funny. He has a unique style. And he seems to be particularly good when he’s adlibbing with the audience.

Here he is talking to a woman about animal rights…

And here he is talking to an ex-con…

How Every Little Event in Your Life Is an Opportunity to Grow Rich

Here’s a thought: Every event in life, however small, is an opportunity to become richer. Richer in knowledge. Richer in trust. Richer in friendship. And, of course, richer in financial wealth.

There are people that understand this at an almost instinctive level. I’m thinking of those rare individuals that are always on the move, always upbeat, always asking questions and coming up with ideas, always happy to help, and always eager to start new projects and set out on new adventures.

When such people have the additional blessings of intelligence and good health, they inevitably rise quickly to the upper echelons of whatever world they inhabit.

These are the natural-born wealth builders.

And they are loathsome creatures. They make the rest of us feel inferior in their presence. They don’t mean to. Of course not. They are affable. And well-intentioned. But they annoy us. They have that gift, too.

This is envy speaking. The right emotion would be admiration. And the right action would be to learn from the natural-born wealth builders by studying and emulating what they do.

Many of the most successful books on self-improvement, from Think and Grow Rich to The 7 Habits of Highly Successful People to Rich Dad Poor Dad are based on that logic. They identify a certain number of key behaviors common to the natural-born wealth builders and use them to structure their advice.

And it is good advice. Read those books. Even if you don’t like the idea of self-improvement, you’ll recognize the value in their suggestions.

We are talking about big behaviors here. Like setting goals. And choosing partners. And where to invest your time and capital. But in between those big behaviors are hundreds or even thousands of small behaviors – decisions we make daily, without thinking, that make a difference, too. Decisions that can add to or subtract from life’s richness over time.

Conversations, for example. The little conversations you have with yourself when you are brushing your teeth in the morning. Or the small exchanges you have with fellow workers. Or the answers you give your spouse or child when they ask seemingly unimportant questions about your day.

You probably don’t think of conversations like these as opportunities, let alone opportunities that can add to your wealth. But they can be.

I was – and am – as blind as the next person to seeing and seizing these small moments. I’ve been particularly bad at noticing all the little opportunities I have to increase my stores of happiness and equanimity. But in one area of my life, I did learn to do it. And it did make a difference.

I’ve told this story elsewhere before. So, I won’t repeat it at length here. But at one point in my early 30s, I decided to make “get rich” (financially rich) my one and only goal. I had no idea how I was going to do it. But with that goal in mind, I was able to make lots of small decisions that added up.

If, for example, I was shopping for a watch, it was clear to me that the one I should buy would be the cheapest one that could keep good time. If a colleague asked me for help with something, I saw it as an opportunity to deepen a relationship that could one day pay dividends.

Eventually, I didn’t need to consciously decide if or how I could take advantage of a particular situation to advance my “get rich” goal. I was reflexively looking at every little event in my life in terms of four questions:

* In what way is this an opportunity for me to increase my wealth?

* What is the potential of this opportunity?

* What are the costs and possible problems associated with this opportunity?

* And if the answers to those questions were positive: What can I do to seize this opportunity?

Better input produces better output. And when you can make continuous strong inputs a habit, you will find that all the many little things you do will become more rewarding in about every possible way.

I’m sure you do this in some areas of your life. And if you look at those areas, you will notice that you have no difficulty making small decisions when small opportunities come along. It’s easy to say yes when the opportunities are good. And no when they are not. In those situations, you are acting like a natural-born wealth builder.

If, like me, you’d like more richness in one or another area of your life, here are some little decisions you can begin making now:

  1. What you decide to think about the moment you wake in the morning.
  2. What you decide to talk about at breakfast.
  3. What sort of programming you decide to listen to on your commute to work.
  4. How you decide to greet your boss and fellow workers (including the expression on your face and your grip when you shake hands).
  5. The first task you decide to work on each day. (Hint: It should be important, but not urgent.)
  6. How you decide to respond to interruptions.
  7. How you decide to respond to criticisms.
  8. If you decide to talk to the stranger sitting next to you on a plane.
  9. The tone of voice you decide to use when you answer the phone.
  10. How much effort you decide to put into preparing for a speech, an interview, or a meeting.

They say it takes only 14 repetitions to make a habit. So, make it a habit to turn the little events into opportunities to enrich your life. Once you have the habit of making enriching decisions, your world will open up to you. Try it for one week. You’ll see!