Surviving… Everything

I’m here in Nicaragua, a country that was once devastated by an earthquake and then a revolution that changed it from one of the richest countries in Latin America to one of the poorest. But gradually over the years the economic devastation that took place after all the seizures and confiscations was repaired by a population that is resilient and hardworking and fundamentally conservative.

We started our business here about 25 years ago and saw economic progress every year thereafter, regardless of politics, until turmoil two years ago scared away some tourists and then the COVID crisis scared away some more. Our own $100 million investment in Nicaragua, Rancho Santana, has so far survived the collapse. And now that spring is approaching, I’m seeing signs of rejuvenation, not just in our business but in hundreds of small enterprises that are popping up all over the place, such as this structure, meant to be a B&B, about a mile from our resort.

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3 Facts, 3 Numbers, 3 Thoughts 

THE FACTS

* Dr. Seuss books discontinued as racist. Dr. Seuss Enterprises announced that they will cease publication of six books that had come under attack by the Sensitivity Police. Three of the stated violations: 1. 98% of the characters are white. (Archie and Veronica, they’re coming for you next.) 2. Some illustrations evince a “perceived resemblance” to “blackface performance imagery.” (No examples provided.) 3. images of Asians are “stereotypical and offensive.” (See above.)

* While America was locked down, alcohol dependency went up. A University of Arizona study of 6000 participants across the US found that alcohol dependency doubled in localities under strict lockdown orders, but stayed the same in areas where lockdowns were not enforced.

* $100 million worth of pandemic relief unemployment claims went to prison inmates from March to October last year, according to the US Department of Labor. Funny, right? This is funny too: During the same period, $58.7 million in benefits went to people using the Social Security numbers of dead people. And this is not funny: $3.5 billion (that’s a billion with a B) in benefits went to people that were fraudulently or otherwise “wrongfully” filing.

 

THE NUMBERS

* $1.5 billion ‒ the net worth of Whitney Wolfe Herd, the first self-made female billionaire ever, after taking Bumble, her dating app, public on February 10.

* 675,068 ‒ the number of deaths from heart disease, the leading cause of death in the US, during the pandemic’s surge in 2020. Cancer came in 2nd with 590,518 deaths, while COVID was a distant 3rd with 339,394.

* 22.1 million – the number of undocumented immigrants (referred to as “removable aliens” in the report) currently living in the US, according to the Department of Homeland Security. (This is a significantly higher number than the 11 million usually used by the media.)

 

THE THOUGHTS 

* “A resolution to avoid an evil is seldom framed till the evil is so far advanced as to make avoidance impossible.” ‒ Thomas Hardy

* “You can sway a thousand men by appealing to their prejudices quicker than you can convince one man by logic.” ‒ Robert A. Heinlein

* “Character is a delicate thing, a paper-thin skein to contain the ugly machinery of human frailty.” ‒ Michael Masterson

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When I saw the headline – “Woman Dumps Boyfriend Who Shamed Her for Having ‘Beer Gut’
” – I assumed it was a satirical news story from The Onion. I was wrong.

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“If we take the route of the permanent handout, the American character will itself be impoverished.” – Richard Nixon

 

Free money is popular! Who woulda thunk? 

A vast majority of Americans – 72% to 76% – support Biden’s $1.9 trillion COVID bailout, “including a sizable share of Republican voters,” according to the NYT.

I’m surprised it isn’t 95%. It’s hard to say no to free money.

Of course, it’s not free. And the people getting the checks now will be paying for it later on – but with interest.

That isn’t the case for the people that passed the bill. Unlike the working classes in America, the retirement accounts of our elected officials and government workers are protected against inflation.

The bill was sold as a necessary step to help Americans survive the lockdown-triggered economic collapse that began last March and continues. And there’s no doubt that some of it will have a stimulating effect on the economy. The question is: How much?

Last night, at the bar at Fina y Mar at Rancho Santana, I asked a half-dozen people I was drinking with whether they thought the bill would be helpful. The response was roughly the same as the NYT poll: Four thought it would; two thought it wouldn’t.

Then I asked them if they know any of the provisions of the bill.

“Checks for unemployed people,” one said.

“Money for small businesses that have employees, if they keep them employed,” another said.

“I think there’s money in there for small business operators,” a third said.

Those were the basics, everyone agreed. The bill was designed to ease the medical crisis and support working- and middle-class Americans, the people that have been most hurt by the shutdown.

Well, not exactly. Here are the data:

* $413 billion for another round of stimulus checks

* $246 billion for unemployment provisions

* $75 billion towards vaccinations, medical supplies, and treatments

* $19 billion for “public health” programs

* $26 billion for live venues, restaurants, and bars

* $7.2 billion in additional funds for the Paycheck Protection Program

That adds up to $786 billion of the $1.9 trillion assigned to pandemic relief.

Where is the remaining $1.2 trillion going? Take a look…

* $100 million for a Silicon Valley subway system

* $1.5 million for a bridge that Chuck Schumer has been wanting to connect NY and Canada

* $500 million towards “grants to fund activities related to the arts, humanities, libraries and museums, and Native American language preservation”

* $30 billion for public transit agencies

* $4 billion towards mental health assistance

* $6 billion for the Indian Health Service

* $15 billion towards economic injury disaster loans

* $15 billion to help airlines make payroll

* $4.5 billion for the Low Income Home Energy Assistance program

* $15 billion towards a temporary 5% increase in Federal Medicaid to states offering eligibility to lower-income adults

* $19 billion in rental assistance

* $39 billion for child care

* $86 billion for employers insured by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.

* $129 billion for elementary and secondary schools, regardless of their reopening status, and $40 billion for higher education (According to the Congressional Budget Office, Congress has already given $113 billion to schools and “most of those funds remain to be spent.”)

* $350 billion for state and local governments, using a formula that favors sending more money to states that strictly enforced economic lockdowns

* Some of these expenditures we all agreed, were indirectly related to the Corona Economy. But which of them were necessary? We had a good arguments about that. But some, like the $500 million allocated to the arts and the $100 million destined for the Silicon Valley transit system, left everyone, even the big-government people, speechless.

At $1.9 trillion, the package would not only be the largest bailout in history, it would be three times larger than the projected shortfall in GDP output, according to US Treasury Secretary and National Economic Council Chair Larry Summers.

That’s a fact, but opinions vary:

“We’re here today because Pelosi, Schumer, and Biden decided to use a pandemic to push forward a progressive wish list – items to reward political allies, friends, and donors at the expense of the American working class,” said Representative Jason T. Smith (R-MO).

“This is a spectacular piece of legislation,” Nancy Pelosi told reporters Friday evening. “While the Senate has prevented us temporarily from passing one aspect of it, let us not be distracted from what is in here, because it is a great bill.”

“I am known as a dove [one who supports low interest rates and generous government assistance],” said Olivier Blanchard, MIT economics professor and former International Monetary Fund chief economist. “I believe that the absolute priority is to protect people and firms affected by COVID. Still, I agree [that] the $1.9 trillion program could overheat the economy so badly as to be counterproductive. Protection can be achieved with less.”

Those are the facts and some of the opinions. You should make your own assessment.

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Martial Arts for Women

I’ve been training Brazilian Jiu Jitsu for about 23 years. I’ve earned a black belt and have won several regional and national contests (for my age group), and I came in third in the 2016 IBJJF World Master Championship.

Those victories were rewarding. But the best match I ever fought was about 15 years ago when a 115-pound colleague choked me out in front of a crowd of people who were gawking and laughing.

Despite what the post-modernists would have us believe, science tells us that, pound for pound, men are stronger, faster, and have more explosive power than women. That’s why I’ve always believed that martial arts that emphasize striking (Karate, Boxing, Kickboxing, Kung Fu, etc.) are not appropriate as self-defense programs for women. But there are martial arts that are designed to allow smaller and weaker opponents to defeat larger and stronger ones. Notably Judo and Jiu Jitsu.

Take a look at the following three videos. These are real (not the simulated  BS you see so often) physical fighting contests where technique allows the “weaker” sex to not just defend themselves against attack but dominate and subdue!

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Brain Stuff
. . . From Cambridge University

Olny srmat poelpe can raed tihs.
cdnuolt blveiee taht I cluod aulaclty uesdnatnrd waht I was rdanieg. The phaonmneal pweor of the hmuan mnid, aoccdrnig to a rscheearch at Cmabrigde Uinervtisy,
it deosn’t mttaer in waht oredr the ltteers in a wrod are, the olny iprmoatnt tihng is taht the frist and lsat ltteer be in the rghit pclae. The rset can be a taotl mses and you can sitll raed it wouthit a porbelm.
Tihs is bcuseae the huamn mnid deos not raed ervey lteter by istlef, but the wrod as a wlohe. Amzanig huh? yaeh and I awlyas tghuhot slpeling was ipmorantt! if you can raed tihs psas it on !!

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Sitting…

Perhaps it’s my age. Or maybe it’s something I should have figured out long ago. One of the great pleasures in life is being seated. Whether it’s for work, socializing, or meditation, I’ve come to understand that where and how I sit is important to my enjoyment of what I’m doing when I’m sitting.

It’s interesting. Although I never really thought about it, I realize that I’ve been creating seating spots for myself since I was a kid. Today, I don’t just have a single favorite place to sit. Nor two or three. I have dozens.

Here’s one of them:

In fact, this is where I was sitting this morning while putting together the following list…

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“Any clod can have the facts; having opinions is an art.” – Charles McCabe

What I Believe 

A compilation – in no particular order – of some of my longstanding theories and many of my current ideas and opinions… 

* Conventional thinking is not thinking.

* Social Science, as practiced today, is an oxymoron. It would be much better to call it Social Dogma.

* Economics is a valid field of knowledge, one that sometimes employs the scientific method, but it is not a science.

* Most of economic and investment theory is based on incomplete data and faulty premises.

* The currently popular academic philosophies of intersectionality and structuralism are intellectually dishonest and pragmatically destructive.

* Charity is dangerous to both the giver and the receiver. It creates a false sense of accomplishment in the one, and dependency and entitlement in the other.

* Of the many kinds of charitable actions, giving away things (including one’s time, one’s wisdom, one’s knowledge, one’s things, and one’s money) is the worst kind.

* Businesses that put their employees or shareholders ahead of their customers are morally bankrupt and will eventually be financially bankrupt.

* The currently popular theories of institutional racism, inherent bias, white privilege, and reparations are intellectually dishonest and harmful to people of color.

* Police violence is not the number one issue facing African-Americans today. It is not even on the top 10 list.

* Social workers are not necessarily saints. Nor is social work necessarily saintly. But social workers can be good and social work can be helpful if it is done carefully.

* The four-hour work week was once a dream. Now it’s becoming a possible nightmare.

* Of all the professions that contribute to the wealth of nations, entrepreneurs and small business owners provide the greatest good for the greatest number of people.

* The primary job of government is to establish law and order so that its citizens can be free to go about their business.

* Governments are not structured to create wealth and they do not. What they do is redeploy wealth towards political and military objectives.

* Politicians, government workers, and military personnel take part in the business of redistributing wealth. It is always in their interest to do so.

* Zen thinking is the equivalent of sub-atomic theory.

* Culture – including micro-culture – is the single most important factor in social and financial advancement.

* The most important component of a success culture is the belief in hard work, continuous education, and saving.

* Slavery was and is a commercial activity whose objective was to create profits for slaveholders. But the system of slavery was never profitable as a whole.

* All businesses pass through at least 4 distinct levels of growth, each with distinct challenges and opportunities. Any founder or CEO that doesn’t know them is doomed to failure.

* Capitalism is not an intellectual ideology like Socialism and Communism, but the most natural and fairest form of human commerce.

* Every young person entering the workforce comes to the job with immutable tendencies, prejudices, psychological preferences, and habits that are nearly impossible to change.

* Business management efforts to motivate employees are completely ass-backward.

* 90% of psychological counseling and marriage counseling doesn’t work – for good reason.

* Much of mainstream medicine is scientifically dishonest and harmful and expensive to patients.

* Serial killers are 98% like the rest of us.

* Liberals are less generous with their personal charity than Conservatives.

* The mainstream media can’t be trusted.

* Any economic philosophy that does not account for the work of the Austrian economists (Hazlitt and Hayek) is sure to develop ideas that are so profoundly idiotic that they are not worth a moment’s attention.

* Being thoughtful is more useful than being intelligent.

* Adherence to any political party is always and necessarily intellectually bankrupt.

* Political partisans are not to be trusted.

* Men and women are fundamentally different but not always in ways people commonly think.

* All wars, regardless of cause or justification, are destructive.

* Of the many wars the US has been involved in over the last hundred years, the most costly of them, in terms of dollars and lives, were the war on drugs and the war on poverty.

* The new wars will be against institutional racism and social injustice. They, too, will be extremely costly in terms of dollars and lives, and they, too, will fail.

* The search for freedom is a more important humanitarian objective than the search for equality.

* Equality of opportunity is a legitimate goal of a just society. Equality of outcome is a recipe for injustice.

* Nature itself abhors equality. Everything within and without the human animal strives constantly and continuously towards the unequal.

* Every social and political effort in history that has made equal outcomes a goal has failed.

* You don’t need an education in art and music to become an expert at it.

* 90% of what Americans spend their money on is based on wants, not needs.

* Trying to “be number one” is a childish and self-destructive goal, whether employed by an individual, a group of individuals, or a country.

* Working-class and poor people fight and die in wars that do them no good but profit the elites that send them to war.

* Soldiers fight for ideals and ideas that are sold to them by people that don’t believe them.

* We are all morally obliged to take responsibility for and fix our problems, even if they are caused by someone or something else.

* Happiness is only marginally related to wealth.

* By understanding the relationship between money and happiness, we can make better decisions about how we make money, how much money we need to make, and how we can enjoy the money we make.

* Income is an important factor in the acquisition of wealth, but it is not a measure of it.

* Most people want to have a higher income and net worth, and many people work hard and long to increase their wealth. But few achieve the financial goals – conscious or unconscious – that they set for themselves. There are reason for that, which the wealth seeker should understand.

* Sharing wealth is more rewarding than growing it.

* Getting up early really is superior to getting up late.

* Organizational growth in any form – business, non-profits, social programs, etc. – is created by a very tiny fraction of the community involved.

* Growth creators are entitled to the lion’s share of the wealth, prestige, or acclaim that comes from that growth.

* It is not possible to motivate 80% of a workforce to work harder unless you ignore them and demand that the 20%, who are already working overtime and on weekends, work more.

* The military-industrial complex is real.

* The medical-industrial complex is real.

* As much as 30% of what are considered established and proven medical practices, including surgeries and medication, have no scientific support.

* Over the last 20 years, there has been a huge transfer of wealth from the working class to Wall Street.

* In bad economies, the debt created by the government/corporation cabal is paid for not by either of them but by entrepreneurs and the working class.

* Racism, ageism, sexism, classism, and elitism exist in most cultures and can retard and, in some cases, restrict individual economic advancement. But the negative effects are rarely absolute. Extraordinary individuals can and do overcome them.

* Wealth and income inequality are realities that exist in every economy – even those committed in principle to the distribution of wealth.

* Two words normally used interchangeably – saving and investing – should not be considered synonymous. The primary concern of saving is safety. The primary concern of investing is growth.

* Wall Street promotes the idea that investing in stocks and bonds is the sensible way to grow rich. But any strategy that focuses solely or even primarily on stocks and bonds is flawed.

* Every asset class and financial strategy has its own inherent characteristics, investment advantages and disadvantages, profit and growth potentialities, and risk profiles. The smart investor understands this and balances his portfolio accordingly.

* There are proven ways to safely achieve a higher-than-average ROI for certain asset classes under certain conditions. One can, for example, safely double the ROIs on income-producing real estate by using bank financing wisely. The same is true for many business transactions, some stock strategies, and a handful of other asset classes.

* The financial industry promotes the idea that life insurance is something every sensible person should have. In fact, life insurance makes sense only in certain circumstances.

* Most people fear entrepreneurship because they believe it takes genius, courage, and luck. In fact, these factors are rare contributors to success in start-up business ventures. The factors that matter most are common sense. humility, cautiousness, a relentless work ethic, and perseverance.

* With respect to building wealth, there are two kinds of skills: financially valued skills and financially valuable skills. Developing skills in either category is a big advantage in building wealth – but the financially valuable skills are more important.

* The purported benefits of great wealth – financial security, choices, and prestige – are more valued in their absence than when they are present.

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One of the great pleasures of keeping an eye on the art world is to be able to enjoy the ridiculous issues that are passionately debated. It reminds me of the sort of controversies I noticed when I was following purebred dog showing.

From a recent issue of ARTNews

The Museo Nacional del Prado in Madrid has acquired a 1929 painting by the Cubust artist María Blanchard, in a move that has angered some who claim that has angered some who claim that the work exceeds the museum’s purview.

Some in the Spanish art world have claimed that, because of its date, the painting belongs with the city’s Museo Reina Sofía, which has historically specialized in art from the 19th century onward. According to a report by the Spanish newspaper ABC, the Prado’s purchase of the work, for which it paid 70,000 euros (about $84,000), breaks with a 1995 decree that distinguishes what the two museums can collect.

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“Forgiveness says you are given another chance to make a new beginning.” – Desmond Tutu

 

One of the Most Important Skills I Ever Learned –

How It Improved Both My Business and My Personal Life 

I learned to forgive myself for making bad business decisions about 30 years ago, in my early 40s. It not only greatly reduced the stress I was under at the time, it helped me become a better businessperson.

Learning to forgive myself in my personal life was much more recent. More about that part of the story in a minute.

Here’s the first part…

Shortly after taking on the role that I think of now as growth strategist for BB and company, I came up with a marketing idea that I pushed through that didn’t go as expected. I am not sure of the exact number, but I think it cost the business about $80,000 at a time when revenues were only $8 million.

I felt terrible about it. I felt so bad, in fact, that I cut BB a personal check for $80,000.

He refused to cash the check. “These things happen,” he said.

That didn’t make me feel any better. It made me feel worse. In my mind, I owed him 80 grand, and I hated the idea of being in debt to anyone for anything. I still do.

Several months later, we launched a marketing idea that lost even more money. But this time it was his idea. I was sure he would be horrified and humiliated when he saw the report. (I remember feeling embarrassed for him.) But he wasn’t. After looking at the bottom line, all he said was: “Gee, I guess that didn’t work!”

His response had an immediate and forever effect on me. I’m not sure why, but my transformation was instantaneous.

I suddenly understood that in order to generate good and even great business decisions, you have to be willing to make bad ones. Expect to have some strike-outs. Simply admit that you were wrong… and move on.

BB was able to do this, I realized, because he did not have an emotional attachment to his business ideas. He was prolific in generating ideas, but he had no ego involvement in them.

Because I was emotionally attached to my ideas, I wasn’t able to see their weaknesses. Even if someone pointed out those weaknesses very clearly, I would defend them in order to protect my ego.

I knew that I had to let go… and, somehow, I did. And since then, if someone points out a fault in an idea I present or suggests something that might be better, I’ve been happy to drop it and go forward with something new.

As helpful as this concept has been in my business career for the last 30 years, I never thought of applying it to my personal life. This is odd, because I had at least a dozen personal goals that I was having only piecemeal success with – and I was still beating myself up whenever I failed at any one of them.

Then one day last year – and I can’t explain how this happened – I woke up and thought, “I’ve got to stop doing this to myself.”

Somehow, I did. And, again, the transformation was instantaneous.

The anger and guilt and emotional turmoil is gone. No more flagellating myself over petty crimes and misdemeanors (like arriving late or overeating). Whenever it is clear that I have screwed up in some way, instead of blaming myself, I simply think, “Gee, I guess that didn’t work!” And I move on.

The mental cell I had imprisoned myself in all those depressing years finally opened, and I am free.

I wish I could give you a step-by-step account of how I came to this wonderful point in my life, but I can’t. For the life of me, I don’t know how I did it. I can only hope that telling you my story will be enough to make you believe you can do the same.

More about this as I discover more about it myself. For now, I leave you with the following Buddhist parable.

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