“It is astonishing how much enjoyment one can get out of a language that one understands imperfectly.”

– Basil Lanneau Gildersleeve

Quora is a knowledge-sharing website where questions are asked and answered – and translated into various languages – by users. It is currently available in English, Spanish, French, Italian, German, Japanese, Indonesian, Hindi, Portuguese, Dutch, Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, Swedish, Marathi, Bengali, and Tamil. To keep up with my foreign languages, I read it not only in English but in French, Spanish, and Italian. I like it because the questions are usually inane and the answers are ludicrous. You may not need the practice, but you might enjoy deciphering the translations.

What I’ve found especially interesting is that the English version has the most trivial but practical questions, the French are mostly concerned with comparing themselves to the USA, and the Italians talk almost exclusively about cars and sex.

Before cheating and doing a Google translation, try your hand at this one – Gordon Miller’s answer to the question “Why do so many people that want to get rich fail,” translated for Quora’s French readers by Gaetan Beissirad:

Il y a 10 raisons qui expliquent pourquoi la plupart des gens sont fauchés 

  1. Ils sont incapables de gérer leurs émotions. Les gens ne peuvent pas rester calme quand ils sont sous pression. 
  1. Ils se fixent des objectifs pas assez ambitieux. Les gens ont des objectifs trop bas.
  1. Ils pensent trouver « le secret ».Les gens pensent que certains livres détiennent « le secret » pour réussir. Il n’y a pas de secrets. 
  1. Ils ont des pensées limitantes à propos de la vie et de l’argent. Les gens pauvres pensent que tout est contre eux tandis que les gens riches font bouger les choses pour avoir ce qu’ils veulent. Les gens pauvres pensent que l’argent n’a pas d’importance et les riches comprennent l’importance de l’argent. 
  1. Ils choisissent de mauvais mentor. Les gens croient « le coach de vie » « le coach de business » ou leur « mentor » qui n’ont souvent rien fait dans leurs vies à part gagner de l’argent en vendant leurs conseils de coach.
  1. Ils sont contrôlés par la peur. Les gens prétendent que cette peur n’existent pas mais finissent leur vie dans la pauvreté et la misère. D’autres agissent en dépit de la peur et ne laissent jamais la peur les stopper et finissent riches et misérables. Les vrais Winners « embrasssent » la peur et la laissent les motiver. 
  1. Ils essayent de réinventer la roue. Les gens doivent débuter avec un système prouvé et efficace que même un idiot pourrait reproduire. Parce qu’éventuellement un le fera.
  1. Les gens sont nuls en business. Les gens doivent apprendre les mécaniques, les principes du business dans la vraie vie. 
  1. Les gens sont inconfortables avec les mots comme « ventes » et « persuasion ». Les gens doivent réaliser que la vente fait partie de la vie. Soit vous vendez et persuadez soit vous échouez.
  1. Ils sont esclaves de l’argent et n’attendent que leur paye mensuelle. Les gens qui travaillent pour quelqu’un d’autre ne deviendront jamais riche. La seule exception ce sont les gens payés par commission à la vente ou les gens qui sont capables de générer des actifs massifs pour une société. La meilleure façon de démarrer votre propre business est de le commencer pendant que vous avez un autre travail à côté. C’est ce que j’ai fait.
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ludicrous (adjective) 

Something that’s ludicrous (LOO-dih-krus) is so absurd or silly it makes you laugh. As I used it today: “I like [Quora] because the questions are usually inane and the answers are ludicrous.”

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“The White-Collar Job Apocalypse That Didn’t Happen” in The New York Times

The article refutes the claim that the USA was in a long-term trend of losing jobs to overseas operations.

 More than a million low-skilled jobs like data entry did move offshore over the past 10 years. But these were mostly jobs located in high-salary cities on both coasts. Middle-skilled jobs, such as customer service and sales, did not diminish. In fact, they increased. White-collar jobs have also increased.

This would not be surprising if, before publishing their predictions, the academics had consulted with actual businesspeople involved in “exporting” jobs. My colleagues and I, for example, could have told them that you cannot maintain the same level of customer service by setting up operations in India and the Philippines. The article doesn’t say this. (It was in the NYT, after all.) But the main reason wasn’t the difference in time (as the article suggests) but the level of skill and the work ethic of these countries with cheap labor.

Toward the end of the article, the issue of automation and robotics is mentioned. This is certainly a serious threat to employment everywhere. My guess is that these technological advances will have the same effect as they’ve always had: making many jobs obsolete while creating many more.

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An email from AC

I will always be seeking to learn, improve, and grow. Words are supremely powerful things but still can’t express what you’ve taught me through your writings and personal discussions. You are the gold standard to me!

 

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“It takes as much imagination to create debt as to create income.”

– Leonard Orr

Auto Debt, Student Debt, Federal Debt: What’s Not to Love? 

Bill Bonner has been writing a series of interesting essays about trucks and cars. Well, if you know Bill, you know they aren’t actually about trucks and cars but the economics of owning/leasing/using them.

In the October 2 issue of Bill Bonner’s Diary, he cites an article from The Wall Street Journal:

“Walk into an auto dealership these days and you might walk out with a seven-year car loan.

“That means monthly payments that last well past when the brake pads give out and potentially beyond when the car gets traded in for a new one. About a third of auto loans for new vehicles taken in the first half of 2019 had terms of longer than six years, according to credit-reporting firm Experian PLC. A decade ago, that number was less than 10%.…

“For many Americans, the availability of loans with longer terms has created an illusion of affordability. It has helped fuel car purchases that would have been out of reach with three-, five-, or even six-year loans.”

In the last ten years the average auto price has climbed from $30,000 to $40,000. That’s an escalation rate of about 3% a year, 50 basis points (or $5,000) higher than inflation.

“Since the average wage has been little changed – around $23 per hour – that means the time price has gone from about 1,300 hours to about 1,700.”

So the average American is paying more for a car these days – not because he can afford to but because the auto industry is willing to extend and the consumer is willing to take on more debt.

When cars became the transportation of choice, a hundred years ago, they were much cheaper than they are today – not just in absolute terms, but also much cheaper relative to inflation.

Bill explains:

“When Henry Ford introduced the Model T, the sticker price was $850. Then, with his conveyor belt assembly lines, he was able to get the price down to $360 by 1925. As near as we can figure; hourly wages in 1925 were between $1 and $1.50. So, the auto – basic transportation for the Roaring Twenties – cost the typical wage earner about 300 hours of his time. Now, he must work nearly six times as much for his wheels.”

Bill sees this as a symptom of a much larger problem, a great shift in how just about everyone in power – politicians, captains of industry, leading academics, and the mainstream media – feel about debt.

Bill and I were brought up to believe that debt was dangerous – something to be avoided in most cases, except when the cost of money was relatively low and the thing you were financing was an appreciating asset. (Like a house purchased at a low price.) Cars are not appreciating assets. So Bill and I didn’t finance our first cars with loans. We bought cars we could afford with cash. My first car was a 1957 Pontiac, I think. I know what it cost: $25.

Bill continues:

“It’s Inflate or Die in the auto industry – and in the whole economy. Auto debt has nearly doubled since 2009. All that additional debt – about $720 billion – only brought sales back to pre-crisis levels.

“In other words, the only way to stay in the same place is by adding debt. And the only way to do that in auto finance is to stretch out the payments.

“But by the end of the term, the collateral value of the auto has been impaired. And like the mortgage loans of 2007, investors are likely to end up with considerably less than they bargained for.”

Automobile debt in the USA is about $1.3 trillion today. That’s roughly the same as student loan debt. Elizabeth Warren proposes to forgive $50,000 of student debt for everyone who earns less than $100,000, Bill reminds us. That’s a great vote getter for the students. But every dollar of forgiven debt is a dollar more of federal debt, which is up $12 trillion since 2009 and growing by a trillion a year.

“The Federal Reserve urges us to borrow more,” Bill reminds us. “The president and his advisors assure us that the Dow will hit 30,000. Warren, Sanders, et al. have their own debt-financed bamboozles… waiting for their hour to come ’round at last.”

“Will these new things make our lives better?” he asks.

My answer: Not likely.

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bamboozle (noun) 

To bamboozle (bam-BOO-zuhl) is to deceive by trickery, flattery, etc. As used by Bill Bonner, above: “The president and his advisors assure us that the Dow will hit 30,000. Warren, Sanders, et al. have their own debt-financed bamboozles… waiting for their hour to come ’round at last.”

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